30-30 Winchester Is A Joke

M94-Win.jpg

Not everyone realizes it, but the old 30-30 Winchester is a joke. 

Photo shows 30-30 Winchester cartridge head stamp and bullet.

Flat-nosed bullets are standard on the rimmed 30-30 Winchester cartridge because of the tubular magazines common to 30-30 lever-action rifles. Sharply tipped bullets riding against the primer of the round in front of them could set ignite that primer under the recoil energy of a shot.

Rarely Reported Truth About 30-30 Winchester

You rarely hear this. Instead everyone brags about how this old dog of a cartridge has taken more deer than any other. If it has (and who can prove it one way or another?) it’s only because every hunter and his dog has had one from 1895 through, oh, say roughly yesterday. Stick a few million rifles of any caliber in the hands of an equal number of hunters hitting the deer woods for 123 seasons and you’re bound to pile up a few deer carcasses. 

But the cartridge itself? The venerated, nearly worshipped 30-30 Winchester is a joke. 

Image shows an old deer hunter with a whitetail buck and 30-30 Winchester M94 lever-action rifle

Millions of deer have been taken with the 30-30 because it's been around for millions of years. It's still the cartridge of choice by many old deer hunters. This one is holding a 30-30 Winchester M94 lever-action rifle.

Introducing A Ballistic Dog

Consider its ballistics: the 30-30 Winchester on a good day might push a 150-grain flat-nose bullet from the muzzle of a 24-inch barrel 2,400 fps. Most hunters carry 20-inch carbines, so they’re lucky to get 2,250 fps. They think they’re getting 2,300 fps or even 2,400 fps because that’s what the ammo manufacturers put on their boxes, but if you bother to run one of those bullets over a chronograph, you’ll see the bad news. The 170-grain bullets are, of course, even slower.

30-30 Winchester cartridge stands beside 25-06, 270, and 257 Wby. to show size difference. Compared to more "modern" cartridges like the 25-06 Rem., 270 Win., (extant since 1925!) and 257 Wby. Mag., the 30-30 is a dog.

But if you think 2,250 fps is tortoise-slow in the age of 3,000 to 3,600 fps deer cartridges, you haven’t heard the half of it. Because those 30-30 bullets are flat, or at best round-nosed, (to prevent recoil primer ignition in tubular magazines) they have p-poor ballistic coefficients. That means they waste much of their energy bulldozing air out of their way. By the time they get a reasonable distance downstream, they’re gasping for breath and hitting the ground beneath your target! 

Photo shows a whitetail buck running across an open, grassy field. This is not the kind of long range shot suitable for the 30-30 Winchester.

Hunt with a 30-30 Winchester and you can pretty much forget about open country long shots. Even if you could arc one in there, remaining energy will be well under 1,000 f-p after 150 yards.

To fully grasp this, you should check out this ballistic table I labored long and hard to put together. This represents a 150-grain round-nosed .308” bullet (B.C. .186) spit from a 20-inch 30-30 barrel at an optimistic 2,250 fps in a 10 mph right angle crosswind. The rifle was zeroed 3 inches high at 100 yards in order to maximize it’s point-blank-range. 


 
 

Remington Core-Lokt .30-30 Winchester 170 Grain Centerfire Rifle Ammo


30-30 Winchester Ballistic Table

Range Drop Wind Energy

0 0 0 1,686 fp

50 +1.8 -.65 1,380 fp

100 +2.9 -2.6 1,121 fp

150 +1.5 -6 904 fp

200 -3.2 -11.3 727 fp

250 -12 -18.4 586 fp

300 -25.5 -27.6 480 fp

Check out that drop at 250 yards. Almost a foot! Aim for the middle of your buck’s chest and you’ll maybe kill an earthworm under him. And 300 yards? Don't even go there. It's beyond 30-30 territory. Shucks, if you subscribe to the old theory that you need at least 1,000 f-p energy to kill a deer, the 30-30 barely qualifies at 140 yards. In contrast, a 243 Winchester 100-grain spire point (you can read comparisons between it and the 30-30 in this previous RSO blog) zeroed 3 inches high at 100 yards will fall just 1.5 inches below your point-of-aim at 300 yards! 

Photo shows a variety of 30-30 Winchester ammo boxes.

Regardless who makes it, 30-30 Winchester ammo remains a medium-range deer hunting load at best. Even the highest B.C. bullets like Hornady's rubber tip MonoFlex don't improve ballistics dramatically.

And that’s not all. The puny little 100-grain .243 bullet will be packing 1,514 f-p energy at 200 yards. Look at that 30-30 Winchester energy at 200 yards. Just 727 f-p! 

What’s all this nonsense about the 30-30's smack down on deer? 

Getting Wind of Another 30-30 Winchester Problem

The final nail in the coffin is wind deflection. Just a 10 mph zephyr deflects our beloved 150-grain round nose 30-30 slug almost a foot at 200 yards. The 243 bullets is nudged off course just 3 inches at the same range. 

So why all this veneration for the silly 30-30 Winchester? 

A gloved hand holds five 30-30 Winchester cartridges.

Push a handful of 30-30 cartridges up your lever-action's tubular magazine and you've got plenty of firepower. And that lever will bring them into battery in a hurry!

But, Somehow, It Works!

I’ll tell you why: because it flat out works. Let’s face it, unless you’re hunting the wild, wild West (which is, sadly, turning into the overcrowded tame, tame West just as fast as developers can make it happen) you probably aren’t going to see a deer at 200 yards let alone shoot at one. The vast majority of whitetail hunters probably sit overlooking a runway, field, or meadow across which 100 yards is the limit. So who needs hyper velocity at those ranges? A 2.5-inch wind deflection is nothing. On-target energy of 1,121 f-p is more than sufficient to drive a deadly mushrooming 30-30 bullet ripping right through a deer’s vitals. And… (here’s the part gourmands love) you can eat right up to the hole. Well, close enough anyway. 

Photo shows a M94 lever-action rifle lying across a downed whitetail buck to illustrate how it doesn't tear up meat via excessive bullet pressure.

The trim, handy lever action rifle in 30-30 is famous for anchoring deer without tearing up meat.

You see, the downside to hyper velocity is bloodshot meat. Slip a high velocity bullet through the ribs and it’s not much of a problem, but hit the shoulder or any other major muscle or bone, and the resultant pressure is going to radiate far and wide, forcing coagulating blood out of its plumbing and into the meat you were hoping to eat. 


CHECK OUT RON’S FAVORITE HUNTING GEAR


Recoiling From the 30-30 Winchester

Then there’s the inescapable Newtonian physics of the 30-30 Winchester, the inevitable opposite reaction that you feel on your shoulder. Despite launching a fairly heavy 150-grain bullet, the 30-30 in a 7.5-pound rifle kicks with only 11 f-p energy at a velocity of about 10 fps. You can compare that to 23 f-p and 14 fps from a 30-06 150-grain load.

Mossberg M464 lever-action rifle in 30-30 Winchester with Hornady MonoFlex ammo and dead black bear.

Lever-action rifles like this Mossberg M464 can be built with modern materials and even scoped. Add a higher B.C. bullet like the rubber tipped Hornady MonoFlex and you improve trajectory and retained energy. The 30-30 is a great option for black bears in dense woods.

Cool Lever-Action Rifles!

Finally, the 30-30 is really a great medium-range deer cartridge because of the lever-action rifles commonly chambered for it. In this era of overly built, overly long, overly bulky, overly heavy rifles, a good, old-fashioned "cowboy gun" is retro-fun! Whether Winchester M94, Marlin 336, Mossberg 464, or Henry Side Gate, lever-actions are nicely balanced, easy carrying, fast handling, cool looking, and just plain fun to hunt with. You rarely need the 5 to 7 rounds their tubular magazines hold, but they are a hoot to lever through.

Photo shows a classic 30-30 Winchester M94 rifle and ammo.

Slim, compact, fast-cycling and just plain fun to operate, the retro-looking lever-action "cowboy gun" in 30-30 Winchester is the quintessential American whitetail rifle. This is the modern M94 Winchester version. Mossberg, Marlin, and Henry also make tubular magazine lever-actions.

30-30 Winchester Puts Hunt Back

Finally finally, the 30-30 Winchester puts the hunt back in hunting. Limited range and open sights (I strongly suggest a Skinner Peep) mean you have to hunt for your deer, not just snipe it.


 
 

Remington Core-Lokt .30-30 Winchester 170 Grain Centerfire Rifle Ammo


Conclusion

Yes, on paper the 30-30 Winchester is a joke. But if you discount it the joke may be on you. No cartridge, no rifle lasts for 124 years if it doesn't bring home the bacon. Regardless what the ballistic tables say, the 30-30 can still haul the mail -- and bag the deer, hogs, bear, elk, moose...

Ron Spomer shot his first two whitetails with a 30-30 lever action rifle. Despite the dismal ballistics, he still likes the combination.

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